{"id":727,"date":"2019-02-26T15:02:07","date_gmt":"2019-02-26T14:02:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/?post_type=tribe_events&#038;p=727"},"modified":"2019-02-26T16:23:41","modified_gmt":"2019-02-26T15:23:41","slug":"challenging-the-commonly-used-log-link","status":"publish","type":"tribe_events","link":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/event\/challenging-the-commonly-used-log-link","title":{"rendered":"Aisouda Hoshiyar (HSU)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1> Challenging the commonly used log-link in statistical models for count data with an application to infectious disease data <\/h1>\n<p>A response function is an essential part of any generalized linear model, but its choice<br \/>\nis rarely questioned. In particular, if the modeled expected value is restricted to be<br \/>\ngreater than zero, the choice often falls on the exponential function. Even for a response<br \/>\nvariable, for which the exponential function corresponds to the canonical link, there is<br \/>\nno indication that this is the true response function in general. Therefore, we propose to<br \/>\ntake the softplus function as response function into consideration. The softplus function,<br \/>\nwhich is technically used in the context of neural networks, enables the modeling of the<br \/>\nconditional mean in an additive way and therefore ensures a linear interpretation of the<br \/>\nregression coefficients while respecting the positivity boundary of the conditional mean<br \/>\nat the same time. The central research question to be discussed in this study is: Does<br \/>\nthe softplus activating function represent an adequate substitute of the commonly used<br \/>\nlog-link with an application to infectious diseases? In the first step, a simulation study<br \/>\ngives insight into the robustness of the estimated coefficients under various circumstances.<br \/>\nFurthermore, the framework for the analysis of multivariate infection disease data yield<br \/>\nby Held et al. (2005) is self-implemented via the open source software R. By doing so,<br \/>\nthe softplus function is introduced to the model class applied. The estimation results<br \/>\nfrom Held et al. (2005) are reproduced and compared to those concerning the softplus<br \/>\nlink function with respect to the predictive quality. One-step-ahead-predictions build the<br \/>\nbasis for mean-squared prediction errors and coverage frequencies of the upper prediction<br \/>\nlimits. The results have been obtained using general optimisation routines via maximum<br \/>\nlikelihood estimation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Challenging the commonly used log-link in statistical models for count data with an application to infectious disease data A response function is an essential part of any generalized linear model, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":335,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_tribe_events_status":"","_tribe_events_status_reason":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"tribe_events_cat":[44],"class_list":["post-727","tribe_events","type-tribe_events","status-publish","hentry","tribe_events_cat-kolloquium-de","cat_kolloquium-de"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/tribe_events"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/335"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/727\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":728,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/727\/revisions\/728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=727"},{"taxonomy":"tribe_events_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/statistik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events_cat?post=727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}