{"id":872,"date":"2021-01-03T16:50:27","date_gmt":"2021-01-03T15:50:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/?page_id=872"},"modified":"2025-02-05T11:56:11","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T10:56:11","slug":"predictive-governance","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/en\/research\/predictive-governance\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictive Governance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>With the intensification of datafication\/digitization of governance comes a growing relevance of predictive governance instruments. Such instruments operate through ongoing, fine-grained data analysis in order to anticipate future scenarios and to support proactive governmental decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the professorship, we research predictive governance mainly in the context of the following projects and activities:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Research Project \u201eThe productive effects of predictive governance in education: the example of Early Warning Systems (EWS)\u201c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The project is embedded in the Heisenberg funding and focuses on early warning systems used in a growing number of schools in order to identify students who are at risk for low performance, problematic behavior or drop-out. In the context of the project, we particularly research the following questions:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How do early warning systems transform the temporality, that is, the temporal framing and rhythms of schooling? Which effects do these transformations evoke?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How do teachers and school leaders embed early warning systems within their (professional) practices; how do they relate the early warning data to their own (professional) judgement?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In how far does the \u201cflagging\u201d of students (of being at risk) affect the talking about\/interacting with these students? How do the systems change the social relations of schools? How does it affect social inequality?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The project includes collaboration with <abbr title=\"Doktor\">Dr.<\/abbr> Steven Lewis from Australian Catholic University as well as <abbr title=\"Professor\">Prof.<\/abbr> Mathias Decuypere from Zurich University of Teacher Education.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201cGovernment Foresight in Germany. Cultural-Sociological Studies on Politics of the Future in 21st-Century Western Societies\u201d<\/strong> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/en\/team-en\/dr-manuel-reinhard\/\">Habilitation project of <abbr title=\"Doktor\">Dr.<\/abbr> Manuel Reinhard<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What role does \u201cgovernment foresight\u201d (i.e., strategic foresight by government authorities such as scenario planning) play in the establishment of \u201cpolitics of the future\u201d \u2013 the co-constitution of attempts to imagine (\u201cimaginary futures\u201d), control (\u201canticipatory governance\u201d), and shape (\u201cfuture-making practices\u201d) possible futures \u2013 in specific fields of political practice in different policy sectors of the Federal Republic of Germany? <abbr title=\"Doktor\">Dr.<\/abbr> Manuel Reinhard\u2019s habilitation project consists of three ethnographic field studies in specialised foresight units within federal authorities for financial, climate, and defence policy (Bundesanstalt f\u00fcr Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht [Federal Financial Supervisory Authority], Umweltbundesamt [Federal Environment Agency], Planungsamt der Bundeswehr [Bundeswehr Office for Defence Planning])<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, between 2020 and 2022, we co-organized the international event series \u201ePreGov \u2013 Predictive Governance\u201c together with colleagues from <abbr title=\"Helmut Schmidt Universit\u00e4t\">HSU<\/abbr>. The program of the last edition of the event series in 2022 can be found here:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-hsu-downloadblock\"><div class=\"thumbnail-area\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/themes\/hsu\/img\/dummy\/downloads_dummy.png\" alt=\"Download Symbol-Icon\" \/><\/div><div class=\"text-area\">Program PreGov Workshop 2022<\/div><div class=\"download-area\"><a class=\"download-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/841\/2022\/08\/Workshop-PreGov3-Hamburg-15-16th-September-2022_Program-1.pdf\"><span class=\"download-name\">pdf laden<\/span><span class=\"download-icon\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"download-icon\" alt=\"download icon\" src=\"\/wp-content\/themes\/hsu\/img\/icons\/download_icon.png\" \/><\/span><span class=\"download-size\">84 kB<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With the intensification of datafication\/digitization of governance comes a growing relevance of predictive governance instruments. Such instruments operate through ongoing, fine-grained data analysis in order to anticipate future scenarios and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2723,"featured_media":0,"parent":114,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-872","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2723"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=872"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/872\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3973,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/872\/revisions\/3973"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/114"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hsu-hh.de\/sozgov\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}